Way
back in 2013, I did a post called Suddenly Syria which looked at the proverbial
shitstorm going on in that Middle Eastern country and the crossroads that
President Obama was facing on what the hell to do about it.
So
how do things look in the four years since I wrote that? “Not too good” would
be an accurate answer; it would also be woefully inadequate which turn would
pretty much described the efforts to pull Syria back from the mouth of hell.
Will the announcement of a cease fire this week actually hold? Negotiated by the United States and Russia, Syria has to stop shooting at rebels for 7 days and the rebels have got to stop shooting Syrian government troops for 7 days. If they can make it 7 days without shooting each other, provisions for a hopefully more lasting peace will kick in.
Seven days can be an eternity when tensions are high. One stray shot could upend the whole deal. And war will rage on once more.
Will the announcement of a cease fire this week actually hold? Negotiated by the United States and Russia, Syria has to stop shooting at rebels for 7 days and the rebels have got to stop shooting Syrian government troops for 7 days. If they can make it 7 days without shooting each other, provisions for a hopefully more lasting peace will kick in.
Seven days can be an eternity when tensions are high. One stray shot could upend the whole deal. And war will rage on once more.
The
war has raged on in Syria for years with casualties mounting and people fleeing; it’s a wonder
there’s anyone left to shoot at after 4 years.
But as troubling as it is that this hell on earth warzone is still
cooking, it’s also disturbing to realize the ripple effects Syria’s war has had
on the rest of the world.
The
war in Syria is so bad, people are fleeing the country by thousands, millions.
These refugees have made their way to Europe where they have not always been
welcomed. A lot of countries tightened up their borders, driven by fear, racism
and Islamophobia. This funnel the refugees to the few remaining countries that
were not going to refuse to extend human compassion and aid. But even with good
intentions, those countries have found their resources overwhelmed, leaving
both the refugees and citizens extremely frustrated.
This
massive influx of refugees has driven right wing political groups from being marginal
entities to becoming major players, stirring political fervor with promises to
seal off borders and deny refugees entry, particularly those who are Muslim. It
was such a political movement that took hold in the United Kingdom which lead
to the UK’s hard right engineering a vote for the UK to leave the European
Union in order to preserve Britain’s right to manage its own borders. Even
though such a move was widely considered to be economic suicide, voters did
indeed vote to leave the EU.
Meanwhile,
the hard right has made gains in Germany’s government, effectively diminishing
the power of President Angela Merkel who was one of the few European leaders
who unabashedly stood up and said the Syrian refugees needed help and Germany
would do all it could to help. Now Merkel is paying a political price for her human
compassion.
While
the war in Syria is going on, ISIS and their dickless brethren have been
running rampant through the Middle East while making murderous, atrocious
attacks in Europe.
Over
in the United States, fears of terrorism coupled with fears of unrestrained
immigration across our borders have forced the Republican Party even farther to
the right which culminated in the nomination of Donald Trump to represent the party
in the election for President.
Some
of the connections are tenuous while others are more direct. Syria’s civil war
has shaped so much of world history over the last four years.
Four
years ago, we stood on a precipice. Faced with President Assad using chemical
weapons against his own citizens, President Obama said such actions would not
go unanswered, that the use of such weapons was a line that could not be
crossed without a strong and decisive response from the United States and the
international community.
It
was a response that never came.
It
was a bold statement that President Obama should’ve never made. The failure to
back up his words with actions caused any goodwill towards the United States to
evaporate in the desert sun. Assad was emboldened and the forces of violence
and anarchy in Syria and elsewhere in the Middle East saw no retribution for
their actions. So Syria continues to
shatter, refugees flood Europe, forces of hate and exclusion are rising up in
Europe and America.
It
should be understand that any military actions taken by Obama and our allies in
response to Assad’s war crimes against the Syrian people may not have saved the
day. Things may have, in fact, gotten worse. There were damn few options 4
years ago.
Syria
made news in the US’s Presidential campaign when Libertarian candidate Gary “Bud”
Johnson was asked what, as President, would he do about Aleppo, the central
city in Syria where most of the fighting has taken place and those Syrians who
remain are trapped in a humanitarian crisis. Johnson’s reply to this inquiry
was to ask, “And what is Aleppo?”
But now we have a cease fire deal brokered by the United States and Russia had brokered. Maybe this one will hold but what we know from history does not hold out much hope for the future. But without hope, what do we have left?
Thanks
for dropping by. Back tomorrow with another post. Until then, remember to be
good to one another.
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